2014 Year in Politics

28 Dec

Another year brought more drama in our semi-functional government.  The end of the year brought closer yet again to a government shutdown.  A controversial, last-minute deal averted another disaster.  I’d like to be more optimistic, but I doubt much will be different in congress next year.  Expect the usual political posturing and drama for the remainder of President Obama’s term.  Even if we have similar action in congress, we will still be some improvements in the next coming year.

One of the things that hasn’t really been talked about after the midterms was that the Tea Party had waning power in the last election.  This could mean slightly less paralysis in congress.  Ted Cruz will still continue to grandstand but his last stunt backfired.  Senator Cruz kept congress in session longer then it was suppose to allowing more of President Obama’s nominees to pass the senate, many of which wouldn’t have been confirmed by the senate had it not been for Senator Cruz.

The most significant thing we will see next year will be candidates announcing their intention to run for president of the United States.  Jeb Bush has already taken the first steps towards running, and Hilary has been hinting for some time that she will run.  I still think there is a chance that Mitt Romney will decide to run again.  The Republican race will be wide open with several contenders some of whom we won’t know until sometime next year.

The Democratic race for president won’t be as close as the Republican nomination process.  If Hilary Clinton runs she will be the immediate front-runner.  I still don’t think she is a lock for the Democratic nomination.  Leading up to the 2008 presidential primaries, most people thought she would easily win the Democratic nomination.  She had a commanding lead over then Senator Obama in most of 2007.  I was one of the few people that thought Senator Obama could beat Hilary.

As I have said in my blog before, you can’t expect conventional wisdom to rule the day every time.  Hilary has a better chance than the last time she ran, but she could still lose the nomination.  Brian Schweitzer, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb and Martin O’Malley have all hinted that they may run for president.  If you are hoping to find out who will be the nominees of each party next year, you are in for a disappointment.  We won’t even know who the real front-runners are until the primary process has begun.  If you want to look out for anything next year, look at the members of either houses of congress who will run for president.

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